What Is the Oregon Kicker?
Oregon's "kicker" is a refund of state revenue that comes in above what economists predicted. Every two years the state's Office of Economic Analysis forecasts how much money the General Fund will collect over the two-year budget period, called a biennium. If actual collections beat that forecast by more than 2 percent, the entire amount above the forecast goes back to personal income taxpayers as a credit on their next state tax return.
The rule has been on the books since 1979 and in the Oregon Constitution (Article IX, Section 14) since voters approved Measure 86 in 2000. The Legislative Revenue Office calls it a "unique feature of Oregon's revenue system." It matters more in Oregon than a similar rule would elsewhere because Oregon has no general sales tax, so the personal income tax supplies most of the General Fund, as the Oregon state page explains in its look at state finances.
Each taxpayer's share is simple arithmetic: the same percentage of everyone's state income tax from the prior year. For the most recent kicker, certified on November 1, 2025, that percentage was 9.863 percent of 2024 Oregon tax liability, claimed on 2025 returns filed in 2026. Someone who owed $5,000 in Oregon tax for 2024 received a credit of about $493.
The personal kicker has triggered fifteen times in the 23 two-year budget periods since 1979, fourteen paid and one suspended, and it has grown with the economy: from $89 million in 1985 to a record $5.61 billion credited on 2023 returns. Supporters see it as a check on government growth and a promise kept to taxpayers. Critics say it keeps Oregon from saving money in good years for the bad ones. The tabs above cover the history, the mechanics, how your share is figured, both sides of the debate, and every kicker on record.
The Kicker in Numbers
$1.41B
Most recent kicker (2025 tax year)
9.863%
Of 2024 Oregon tax liability
$5.61B
Record kicker (2023 tax year)
2%
Surplus needed to trigger it
Quick Facts
The kicker began as a 1979 state law and became part of the Oregon Constitution when voters approved Measure 86 in November 2000 with 62 percent of the vote.
The trigger is all or nothing: a surplus of 1.9 percent returns nothing, while a surplus of 2.1 percent returns every dollar above the forecast, including the first 2 percent.
Corporations no longer get a kicker. Since Measure 85 passed in 2012, surplus corporate tax revenue goes to K-12 schools instead: $922 million after the 2023-25 budget period.
You must file Oregon returns for both years to collect: the year your liability was measured and the year the credit is claimed, even if you would not otherwise need to file.
Lawmakers can cancel one kicker only by declaring an emergency and winning a two-thirds vote in both chambers before the budget period ends. They last did so in 2007, for the corporate kicker.
As of the May 2026 state forecast, personal revenue for 2025-27 was about $660 million short of the trigger, so no personal kicker is expected for the first time since 2011-13.
Sources & Further Reading
- Oregon Department of Revenue: Oregon surplus ("kicker")
- Oregon Department of Revenue: Kicker fact sheet (November 7, 2025)
- Legislative Revenue Office: 2026 Oregon Public Finance, Basic Facts
- Office of Economic Analysis: Oregon Economic and Revenue Forecast, May 2026
- Oregon State Legislature: Oregon Constitution
- Oregon State Legislature: ORS Chapter 291 (state financial administration)
- Oregon.gov: 10 things to know about the $5.61 billion kicker (2023)
- Ballotpedia: Oregon Measure 86 (2000)
- Ballotpedia: Oregon Measure 85 (2012)
- OPB: Oregon lawmakers might once again debate the kicker (January 2026)
- Oregon Capital Chronicle: Kotek supports withholding $1B of the kicker (May 2025)
- Oregon Capital Chronicle: Median taxpayer and the $5.6 billion kicker (August 2023)
- Oregon Center for Public Policy: Kicker cost over the last decade (January 2026)
Kicker amounts and percentages are from the Oregon Legislative Revenue Office's 2026 Basic Facts report (Exhibit B-1), the Office of Economic Analysis, and the Oregon Department of Revenue. Vote totals are from Ballotpedia's record of official results. Positions in the debate are attributed to the people and groups who hold them.

